Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 13 km from here.
This alert expired on 12 September 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 28th strongest of the 45 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 July 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 1:15PM MST until September 12 at 1:30PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
An estimated 720,554 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 11 July 2026
- August 6, 2026 · score 48 · 9.7 km
- August 11, 2026 · score 48 · 10.9 km
- August 10, 2026 · score 48 · 10.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 41 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 41 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 79% |
| Coordinates | 31.8800, -110.8230 |
| Nearest City | Sahuarita (16 km) |
| Population Exposed | 720.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-12T20:15:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.2979653f41abf248ebefbd06195e9c965e1c2e11.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Pima, AZ; Pima, AZ; Santa Cruz, AZ |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 12 at 1:15PM MST until September 12 at 1:30PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ |
| Expires | 2026-09-12T13:30:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tucson AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2979653f41abf248ebefbd06195e9c965e1c2e11.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.921eae0fd047fb28f841c8f22c9846f878474469.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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